Agro Perspectiva

the Forecast of world(global) passing stocks rough grain is increased by 4,6 million t

12.04.2007 17:40 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) — MSKH the USA were published with the specified forecast of world(global) balance of manufacture and consumption rough grain in a current season. In comparison with a March estimation, world production rough grain is increased up to 974,84 million t (966,7 million t in the previous report and 1015,21 in 2005/2006 MG) due to higher, than was expected earlier, a crop in the countries of Africa, including in Ethiopia, Nigeria and Sudan, transfers(transmits) « Fodder It(He)». Good weather in these countries has affected(influenced) growth of productivity sorgo, corn, barley and millet. The estimation of total gathering of corn in the world is increased by 2,7 million t, including due to Argentina (+0,5 million) and Brazil (+1,5). A proceeding drought in the republic of South Africa has lowered productivity of corn. As a result, manufacture of corn will appear below expected on 1,0 million t. The increase in an estimation of world production rough grain has affected(influenced) growth of the forecast of their consumption up to 1017,35 (1014,47 and 990,89) one million t. In comparison with the March forecast, the estimation of use rough grain in the USA, Mexico, the republic of South Africa is reduced, Thailand and is increased for Argentina and Brazil. Consumption rough grain in the USA for the fodder purposes will be much less, than it was expected earlier — 154,76 (157,83 and 162,99) one million t, that will affect(influence) reduction of total amount of use rough grain. The forecast of world trade rough grain essentially has not changed. The volume of world(global) export rough grain in a current season will reach(achieve) 110,59 (110,85 and 108,45) one million t, import — 974,84 (966,7 and 977,95) one million t. The estimation of export of the Chinese corn is reduced by 0,5 million t, Argentina — on is as much increased. World reserves rough grain in a current season will be much more above, than it was expected earlier, but still below a level of the last year — 123,23 (118,65 and 165,74) one million t. Decrease(reduction) in the forecast of consumption rough grain in the USA has affected(influenced) increase in an estimation of their final stocks up to 25,72 (22,4 and 54,77) one million t. More generous crop of the Brazilian corn, than it was expected earlier, became the reason of growth of the forecast of its(her) final stocks on 0,8 million t. Deterioration of export prospects of the Chinese corn will lead to increase in passing stocks at 0,5 million t.